Delaware's Top Revenue Sources: A Decade of Change
Tracking Delaware's Tax Shifts and What's Ahead
"Sometimes called Delaware's 'hidden sales tax,' the tax is levied on the seller of goods and services in the state, rather than the consumer."--Jonathan Starkey, former News Journal reporter and current Chief of Staff to Governor Carney writing about Delaware's Gross Receipts Tax.
In 2014, the News Journal published an article titled "Delaware taxes: Top 5 sources of state revenue." Interestingly, Jonathan Starkey who authored the article, is now the Delaware governor's chief of staff. With the campaign season ramping up, the Caesar Rodney Institute (CRI) believes revisiting and updating this list provides valuable insights for all Delawareans.
DEFAC - Keeping Delaware's AAA Bond Rating
According to Delaware law, the Delaware Economic Forecasting Advisory Council (DEFAC) meets five times a year to update the state's revenue forecast. Furthermore, the Delaware General Assembly is limited by the State's Constitution to spending, at most, 98% of the June forecast, which is specified in the 2024 DEFAC Balance and Appropriations Report. This "constitutional check" on spending has ensured that Delaware has maintained a strong AAA credit rating since the 1980s.
The 'Top 5' State Revenue Source List (updated to 6)
The following rankings are based on Jonathan Starkey's 2014 News Journal article, with updates and notes reflecting changes over the past decade. Notably, CRI added "Corporate Income Tax" as the sixth revenue source for completeness (see Graph 1.0).
1. Personal Income Taxes: $2.23 billion ($1.14 billion in 2014 - a 95.6% increase)
2. Corporate Franchise Taxes: $1.33 billion ($776.7 million in 2014 - a 71.2% increase)
3. Abandoned property: $409.0 million ($566.5 million in 2014 - a 27.8% reduction)
4. Casinos/Lottery: $245.9 million ($235.3 million in 2014 - a 4.5% increase)
5. Gross Receipts Tax: $365.2 million ($226.3 million in 2014 - a 61.3% increase)
6. Corporate Income Tax: $357.4 million (Not on the top 5 list from 2014)
Summary
According to the Federal Reserve, Delaware's economy is only 2.4% higher today than in 2014. Yet government expenditures have increased by 52.6% over that period (Source: 2014 and 2024 Budget Bills).
With several primary revenue sources stagnant (escheat and gambling) and a revenue growth forecast below the inflation rate, the Personal Income Tax and Corporate Income Tax are likely to be raised.
Delaware is sitting on a record $2.7 billion in COVID-19 cash, so the government could use one-time money to fill any pending shortfall. Another target could be senior citizens, Delaware's only growth industry. Will the General Assembly go after Grandma?
If presented with the opportunity, candidates should be asked, "What will you do?"
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